Sunday, June 17, 2012

And we are back to where we started?

The recent developments in Egypt have been, to say the least, disturbing. A few days away from the run off election, the Parliament was dissolved and Shafik was allowed to run for presidency. Was that a coincidence? Well, anyone in his right mind would disagree. A strategic move by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCF) that have confirmed to all Egyptians that they (SCF) are in control.

How will this theatrical play end? Are we going back to where we started? Did the revolution actually accomplish what we thought it did? or was the SCF planning every event after the ousting of Mubarak to take the whole Egyptian population back in a U-turn? Is Egypt a military state undercover, and will it remain to be so?

Here is what I think based on the events currently unfolding...

The SCF has always been in control. The islamists were given the chance to form Parliament, with the blessing of the SCF, to show Egyptians nothing would get done. SCF allowed a democratic presidential election to take place with 2 of its men, one to be intentionally disqualified and the other to make it to the run off stage. Parliament is dissolved at a crucial time to get rid of the islamists and a new SCF-controlled Parliament will be formed. Meanwhile, as they know this will backfire and more people will vote for Morsy in retaliation, they are happy with that and encourage it. The reason being, they want Morsy to win the elections, giving the impression of a fair election (which it will be), and then limiting the powers of the president after forming a SCF-controlled constitutional council. This means that within 4 years Morsy will be out and another SCF-appointed president will be president. This brings back the Egyptian people to the pre-revolution status, and people will welcome it.

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