Sunday, June 24, 2012

Morsy the declawed tiger

Please read my previous article, 'Are we back to where we started?' before reading this one.

As expected, Morsy is the first democratically elected (fair and square) president of Egypt. This event came as a shock to many, especially Copts, who spent most of their day wailing the newly elected president. And I wonder, how is it that they still fail to understand that having Morsy is better off than having Shafik. Morsy is just the new facade of the SCAF and his powers have been drastically reduced. He is even required to swear the presidential oath infront of SCAF on June 30th and not the parliment (since it has been dissolved). The SCAF is in full control and this is the reality of Egypt today! I even suspect that the new parliment will NOT have an islamic majority, and the constitutional council will be led by supporters of SCAF and will draft a constitution that further limits the powers of the president. These people will probably come from the ~49% that voted Shafik. Unless an uprise of MB supporters, from within the military, otherthrows non-MB military Generals, then there is nothing to worry about.

The MB will also want to prove to Egyptians (especially at the beginning) that they are worthy of ruling. They will attempt to improve infrastructure, build schools and hospitals, provide more youth-oriented services, reduce commodity prices, etc... This is not new to them, they have been doing this since their inception in 1928 to attract public support. In addition, they will play the pan-arabism card; they already started rallying Egyptians around the idea of liberating Palestine and having Jerusalem as the capital of the new islamic state. Even though I am pretty sure this will not happen, but nontheless the pan-arabism card will attract a lot of support from muslim Egyptians.

Copts should be glad that Shafik did not win this run-off race. His victory could have sent waves of violence across Egypt and further destabilized the country. A ruling declawed tiger is safer than a caged one.

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